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AI statistic check
Chapter 2
Five questions for any AI statistic
What is the unit of analysis? A task, a workflow, a firm or an economy. Numbers do not transfer between levels.
Yes
No
Not sure
Who paid for the study? Vendor-funded work sets the ceiling. Independent randomised work sets the floor.
Yes
No
Not sure
Is this task-level or firm-level? A task-level gain has to survive the structure of the firm before it reaches the P&L.
Yes
No
Not sure
Is this a base rate or a ceiling? A case study is a ceiling. A survey of everyone who tried is closer to a base rate.
Yes
No
Not sure
Has anyone replicated it? A single study is a hypothesis. Three studies with different methods pointing the same way is a finding.
Yes
No
Not sure